All earthquakes
1.3
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

2 km East of Premilcuore

85 months ago · 15 Jun, 23:04

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 54% of Italian events in the past year

Where

2 km East of PremilcuoreEarthquakes in the province of Forlì-CesenaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

28 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

1.3kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×355 its energy
M0this quakeM2

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 14 s

Animation sped up ~3× compared to reality.

  • Forlì
    34 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Cesena
    36 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Faenza
    37 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Imola
    48 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~14 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

9 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~12 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Aftershock

It is an aftershock: it follows a stronger quake (M1.9, 86 months ago) in the same area. Aftershocks are normal after an earthquake and tend to fade over time.

1.9
The mainshock
8 km East of Brisighella
86 months ago · 2 Jun, 07:45
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
3
last 7 days
15
last 30 days
15 before12 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence1.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~5 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 782 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 27 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 32 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 9 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 35 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa

The epicentre lies about 13 km from Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.9between 1 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.8
3 km South-East of Galeata
10 km East · 23 km
85 months ago
14 Jun, 17:48
1.2
9 km North of Marradi
23 km North-West · 10 km
85 months ago
19 Jun, 14:54
0.8
5 km North-West of Verghereto
21 km South-East · 9 km
85 months ago
9 Jun, 04:29
1.3
9 km West of Verghereto
22 km South-East · 9 km
85 months ago
9 Jun, 01:14
1.4
85 months ago
24 Jun, 14:12
0.9
1 km South-East of Marradi
17 km West · 12 km
85 months ago
24 Jun, 16:33
1.4
2 km South of Santa Sofia
9 km South-East · 16 km
86 months ago
6 Jun, 20:02
1.6
3 km North-East of Bibbiena
24 km South · 15 km
86 months ago
5 Jun, 01:30
1.1
1 km West of Premilcuore
4 km West · 9 km
85 months ago
26 Jun, 22:50
1.4
85 months ago
27 Jun, 03:18

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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