All earthquakes
0.9
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

2 km North-West of Premilcuore

118 months ago · 2 Oct, 00:42

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 22% of Italian events in the past year

Where

2 km North-West of PremilcuoreEarthquakes in the province of Forlì-CesenaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

32 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

0.3kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×1,413 its energy
M0this quakeM2

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 13 s

Animation sped up ~2× compared to reality.

  • Forlì
    34 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Faenza
    36 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Cesena
    38 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Imola
    46 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~13 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

8 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~12 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Aftershock

It is an aftershock: it follows a stronger quake (M1.9, 118 months ago) in the same area. Aftershocks are normal after an earthquake and tend to fade over time.

1.9
The mainshock
3 km West of Premilcuore
118 months ago · 24 Sept, 19:20
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
3
last 7 days
12
last 30 days
14 before17 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence1.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~6 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 739 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 24 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 30 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 11 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 31 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa

The epicentre lies about 12 km from Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.9between 1 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.2
5 km North of Premilcuore
4 km North-East · 8 km
118 months ago
3 Oct, 15:19
1.5
3 km East of Bagno di Romagna
21 km South-East · 10 km
118 months ago
28 Sept, 08:24
1.6
1 km South-West of Bagno di Romagna
18 km South-East · 10 km
118 months ago
28 Sept, 08:23
1.5
118 months ago
27 Sept, 17:11
1.0
118 months ago
27 Sept, 17:00
1.3
118 months ago
27 Sept, 12:02
1.2
4 km South-West of Marradi
16 km West · 8 km
118 months ago
27 Sept, 02:57
1.1
3 km South-West of Marradi
16 km West · 8 km
118 months ago
27 Sept, 02:16
1.4
7 km South-West of Sarsina
24 km South-East · 10 km
118 months ago
8 Oct, 12:23
1.9
3 km West of Premilcuore
3 km South-West · 8 km
118 months ago
24 Sept, 19:20

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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