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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

M2.0 earthquake · 5 km North of Monteroni d'Arbia (SI)

11 years ago · 15 Jan 2015, 21:53

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 88% of Italian events in the past year

Where

5 km North of Monteroni d'ArbiaEarthquakes in the province of SienaEarthquakes in Toscana

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

7 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

15kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×32 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 21 s

Animation sped up ~4× compared to reality.

  • Siena
    6 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~2 s
    main shaking in ~3 s
  • Arezzo
    47 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~14 s
  • Firenze
    57 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~10 s
    main shaking in ~17 s
  • Prato
    72 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~12 s
    main shaking in ~21 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

7 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~9 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Aftershock

It is an aftershock: it follows a stronger quake (M2.4, 11 years ago) in the same area. Aftershocks are normal after an earthquake and tend to fade over time.

2.4
The mainshock
4 km North of Monteroni d'Arbia
11 years ago · 13 Jan 2015, 23:30
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
6
last 7 days
13
last 30 days
3 before3 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.4

How often does it happen here?

about every ~12 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 357 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

15586.0
Valdarno superiore earthquake
13 April 1558 · 25 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
14145.7
Colline Metallifere earthquake
7 August 1414 · 21 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
18955.5
Fiorentino earthquake
18 May 1895 · 49 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
19095.3
Crete Senesi earthquake
25 August 1909 · 14 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa

The epicentre lies about 51 km from Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.9between 1 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.4
11 years ago
13 Jan 2015, 23:30
1.4
11 years ago
13 Jan 2015, 19:03
1.3
5 km North of Monteroni d'Arbia
2 km South-West · 8 km
11 years ago
20 Jan 2015, 01:52
1.3
11 years ago
4 Jan 2015, 22:56
1.8
11 years ago
2 Feb 2015, 04:56
1.8
5 km North-East of Monteroni d'Arbia
4 km South-East · 10 km
11 years ago
13 Feb 2015, 22:43

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).