All earthquakes
1.8
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

1 km North-West of Meldola

138 months ago · 30 Jan, 20:49

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 82% of Italian events in the past year

Where

1 km North-West of MeldolaEarthquakes in the province of Forlì-CesenaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

61 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

7.6kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×63 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 10 s

Animation sped up ~2× compared to reality.

  • Forlì
    12 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~3 s
    main shaking in ~4 s
  • Cesena
    13 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~3 s
    main shaking in ~5 s
  • Faenza
    25 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~4 s
    main shaking in ~8 s
  • Ravenna
    33 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

9 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~13 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 138 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.3). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.3
The mainshock
2 km West of Meldola
138 months ago · 24 Feb, 23:38
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
0
last 7 days
7
last 30 days
26 before57 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.3

How often does it happen here?

about every ~7 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 622 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 49 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 26 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 16 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17686.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
19 October 1768 · 22 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Castel San Pietro Terme-Meldola

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.5between 2 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.8
0 km North of Meldola
1 km South-East · 9 km
138 months ago
30 Jan, 20:50
1.9
4 km West of Meldola
3 km West · 23 km
138 months ago
31 Jan, 02:23
2.0
3 km West of Meldola
3 km West · 23 km
138 months ago
31 Jan, 04:39
1.7
5 km South of Bertinoro
7 km East · 8 km
139 months ago
30 Jan, 09:33
1.6
3 km West of Meldola
3 km West · 20 km
138 months ago
31 Jan, 08:47
1.7
1 km North of Meldola
0 km North-East · 10 km
139 months ago
30 Jan, 08:39
2.1
1 km West of Meldola
1 km South-West · 10 km
139 months ago
30 Jan, 05:20
1.5
1 km North of Predappio
9 km West · 32 km
138 months ago
31 Jan, 13:25
1.7
2 km West of Meldola
2 km South-West · 20 km
138 months ago
31 Jan, 14:44
1.7
3 km West of Meldola
2 km West · 24 km
138 months ago
31 Jan, 14:47

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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