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3.0
weak
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

19 km North-West of Leni

43 months ago · 11 Feb, 05:42

A weak earthquake, felt by some of the population. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 98% of Italian events in the past year

Where

19 km North-West of LeniEarthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

20 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

477kgof TNT equivalent
2.0 lightning bolts
M3
About the same energy as a magnitude 3 earthquake
M2this quakeM4

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 94 s

Animation sped up ~18× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    92 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~53 s
    main shaking in ~91 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    112 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~54 s
    main shaking in ~93 s
  • Bagheria
    118 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~55 s
    main shaking in ~94 s
  • Acireale
    122 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~55 s
    main shaking in ~94 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

306 km
deep
35 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~44 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 42 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.9). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.9
The mainshock
22 km North-West of Malfa
42 months ago · 8 Mar, 19:30
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
1
last 7 days
4
last 30 days
3 before16 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~34 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 3 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 127 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19786.0
Golfo di Patti earthquake
15 April 1978 · 49 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
19805.7
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
28 May 1980 · 37 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.
20045.4
Isole Eolie earthquake
5 May 2004 · 17 km from here
IVModerate: felt by many indoors; glasses and dishes rattle.
19575.3
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
21 May 1957 · 42 km from here
IV-VRather strong: felt by almost everyone; hanging objects swing.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Southern Tyrrhenian

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 8.2between 2 and 18 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.7
23 km North-West of Leni
4 km North-West · 8 km
43 months ago
16 Feb, 22:47
1.4
10 km West of Leni
14 km South-East · 18 km
43 months ago
21 Feb, 03:13
1.8
22 km West of Leni
3 km West · 8 km
43 months ago
23 Feb, 08:01
1.8
23 km West of Leni
10 km South-West · 10 km
43 months ago
27 Feb, 19:41
1.2
22 km West of Leni
9 km South-West · 6 km
43 months ago
27 Feb, 19:44
1.4
23 km West of Leni
13 km South-West · 5 km
44 months ago
24 Jan, 06:04
2.7
44 months ago
23 Jan, 03:19
2.6
Isole Eolie (Messina)
22 km South-West · 10 km
44 months ago
18 Jan, 09:25
1.5
20 km West of Leni
10 km South-West · 8 km
42 months ago
8 Mar, 16:03
3.9
22 km North-West of Malfa
9 km North-East · 295 km
42 months ago
8 Mar, 19:30

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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