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3.0
weak
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

23 km West of Leni

91 months ago · 16 Dec, 13:34

A weak earthquake, felt by some of the population. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 98% of Italian events in the past year

Where

23 km West of LeniEarthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

6 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

477kgof TNT equivalent
2.0 lightning bolts
M3
About the same energy as a magnitude 3 earthquake
M2this quakeM4

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 79 s

Animation sped up ~15× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    91 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~45 s
    main shaking in ~77 s
  • Bagheria
    106 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~46 s
    main shaking in ~78 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    111 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~46 s
    main shaking in ~79 s
  • Acireale
    113 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~46 s
    main shaking in ~79 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

253 km
deep
29 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~40 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 91 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.5). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.5
The mainshock
8 km North of Malfa
91 months ago · 26 Dec, 18:48
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
1
last 24 hours
1
last 7 days
15
last 30 days
2 before3 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.5

How often does it happen here?

about every ~33 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 3 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 128 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19786.0
Golfo di Patti earthquake
15 April 1978 · 48 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
18235.8
Sicilia settentrionale earthquake
5 March 1823 · 43 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19805.7
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
28 May 1980 · 26 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.
16135.6
Monti Nebrodi earthquake
25 August 1613 · 49 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Southern Tyrrhenian

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 8.2between 2 and 18 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.3
Isole Eolie (Messina)
23 km West · 6 km
91 months ago
19 Dec, 09:31
2.8
92 months ago
7 Dec, 11:58
3.5
8 km North of Malfa
25 km North-East · 264 km
91 months ago
26 Dec, 18:48
1.8
Isole Eolie (Messina)
4 km South-West · 11 km
91 months ago
28 Dec, 01:50
2.6
92 months ago
25 Nov, 03:40

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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