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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

Isole Eolie (Messina)

103 months ago · 9 Jan, 15:42

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

Stronger than 96% of Italian events in the past year

Where

Isole Eolie (Messina)Earthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

Epicentre at sea

The epicentre is at sea: for the same magnitude, the shaking is felt less on land, because the energy fades along the way before reaching the coast.

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

12 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

120kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×4 its energy
M2this quakeM4

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 35 s

Animation sped up ~6× compared to reality.

  • Bagheria
    87 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~15 s
    main shaking in ~26 s
  • Palermo
    97 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~17 s
    main shaking in ~29 s
  • Messina
    110 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~19 s
    main shaking in ~32 s
  • Caltanissetta
    118 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~20 s
    main shaking in ~35 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

26 km
medium depth
3 times the height of Mount Everest

At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

in line with the area average (~30 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 103 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.4). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.4
The mainshock
Isole Eolie (Messina)
103 months ago · 9 Jan, 17:57
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
0
last 7 days
16
last 30 days
6 before5 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.4

How often does it happen here?

about every ~13 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2.5 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 325 events in the last 11 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

18235.8
Sicilia settentrionale earthquake
5 March 1823 · 36 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19805.7
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
28 May 1980 · 6 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.
20045.4
Isole Eolie earthquake
5 May 2004 · 41 km from here
IVModerate: felt by many indoors; glasses and dishes rattle.
19575.3
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
21 May 1957 · 28 km from here
IV-VRather strong: felt by almost everyone; hanging objects swing.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Southern Tyrrhenian

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 8.2between 2 and 18 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

3.1
Isole Eolie (Messina)
4 km South-East · 21 km
103 months ago
9 Jan, 15:43
2.4
Isole Eolie (Messina)
4 km South-West · 16 km
103 months ago
9 Jan, 15:45
3.4
Isole Eolie (Messina)
2 km South-East · 22 km
103 months ago
9 Jan, 17:57
2.2
Isole Eolie (Messina)
6 km South · 14 km
103 months ago
9 Jan, 18:36
2.7
Isole Eolie (Messina)
5 km South-East · 27 km
103 months ago
8 Jan, 12:22
3.0
Isole Eolie (Messina)
16 km North · 8 km
103 months ago
2 Jan, 12:24
3.3
Isole Eolie (Messina)
21 km North · 7 km
103 months ago
2 Jan, 12:07
2.6
Isole Eolie (Messina)
18 km North · 15 km
103 months ago
25 Dec, 00:18
1.8
Isole Eolie (Messina)
11 km North-East · 10 km
103 months ago
19 Dec, 09:38
1.8
Isole Eolie (Messina)
7 km East · 17 km
104 months ago
13 Dec, 08:18

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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