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2.1
light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

Isole Eolie (Messina)

59 months ago · 28 Oct, 22:02

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 90% of Italian events in the past year

Where

Isole Eolie (Messina)Earthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

Epicentre at sea

The epicentre is at sea: for the same magnitude, the shaking is felt less on land, because the energy fades along the way before reaching the coast.

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

10 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

21kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×22 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 65 s

Animation sped up ~12× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    78 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~37 s
    main shaking in ~64 s
  • Lamezia Terme
    81 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~37 s
    main shaking in ~64 s
  • Cosenza
    91 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~38 s
    main shaking in ~65 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    92 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~38 s
    main shaking in ~65 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

210 km
deep
24 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~149 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 58 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.4). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.4
The mainshock
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
58 months ago · 17 Nov, 21:12
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
1
last 7 days
13
last 30 days
4 before5 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.4

How often does it happen here?

about every ~4 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 1182 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19945.8
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
5 January 1994 · 35 km from here
IV-VRather strong: felt by almost everyone; hanging objects swing.
20065.8
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
26 October 2006 · 14 km from here
19415.3
Isola di Stromboli earthquake
22 May 1941 · 14 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
20075.3
Stromboli earthquake
4 July 2007 · 19 km from here

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Bagnara-Bovalino

The epicentre lies about 60 km from Bagnara-Bovalino, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.1between 3 and 12 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.4
Isole Eolie (Messina)
15 km South-West · 218 km
59 months ago
27 Oct, 16:39
1.8
Isole Eolie (Messina)
13 km West · 4 km
59 months ago
31 Oct, 21:54
3.1
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
16 km North-West · 280 km
59 months ago
24 Oct, 16:29
2.6
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
30 km North · 28 km
59 months ago
2 Nov, 05:16
2.4
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
16 km North · 202 km
59 months ago
3 Nov, 04:00
3.4
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
29 km South · 196 km
58 months ago
17 Nov, 21:12
2.2
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
25 km South-East · 169 km
58 months ago
21 Nov, 23:47
2.2
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
24 km South-East · 168 km
60 months ago
30 Sept, 06:52
1.5
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
20 km East · 86 km
60 months ago
29 Sept, 21:20

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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