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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

Isole Eolie (Messina)

133 months ago · 11 Jul, 06:41

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 90% of Italian events in the past year

Where

Isole Eolie (Messina)Earthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

Epicentre at sea

The epicentre is at sea: for the same magnitude, the shaking is felt less on land, because the energy fades along the way before reaching the coast.

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

23 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

21kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×22 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 34 s

Animation sped up ~6× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    100 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~17 s
    main shaking in ~29 s
  • Bagheria
    101 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~17 s
    main shaking in ~29 s
  • Palermo
    111 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~19 s
    main shaking in ~32 s
  • Acireale
    120 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~20 s
    main shaking in ~34 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

10 km
shallow
1.1 times the height of Mount Everest

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

shallower than the area average (~38 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 132 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.8). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.8
The mainshock
Isole Eolie (Messina)
132 months ago · 9 Aug, 00:46
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
2
last 7 days
19
last 30 days
2 before20 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.8

How often does it happen here?

about every ~5 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 800 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

18235.8
Sicilia settentrionale earthquake
5 March 1823 · 43 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19805.7
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
28 May 1980 · 20 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.
20045.4
Isole Eolie earthquake
5 May 2004 · 28 km from here
IVModerate: felt by many indoors; glasses and dishes rattle.
19575.3
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
21 May 1957 · 32 km from here
IV-VRather strong: felt by almost everyone; hanging objects swing.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Southern Tyrrhenian

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 8.2between 2 and 18 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.9
17 km West of Leni
14 km East · 12 km
133 months ago
13 Jul, 02:07
1.5
4 km South-West of Leni
30 km East · 14 km
133 months ago
8 Jul, 00:46
1.2
Isole Eolie (Messina)
10 km West · 10 km
133 months ago
6 Jul, 17:33
2.7
12 km South-West of Leni
24 km East · 226 km
133 months ago
17 Jul, 13:40
2.8
8 km South-West of Leni
26 km East · 9 km
133 months ago
26 Jul, 15:39
2.0
7 km South-West of Leni
26 km East · 11 km
133 months ago
26 Jul, 15:42
1.8
9 km South-West of Leni
25 km East · 9 km
133 months ago
26 Jul, 17:02
2.7
3 km North-West of Leni
29 km East · 11 km
133 months ago
26 Jul, 19:42
1.9
6 km South-West of Leni
28 km East · 10 km
133 months ago
26 Jul, 19:43
2.1
9 km South-West of Leni
27 km East · 9 km
133 months ago
26 Jul, 20:01

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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