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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

Isole Eolie (Messina)

47 months ago · 14 Oct, 01:02

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 88% of Italian events in the past year

Where

Isole Eolie (Messina)Earthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

Epicentre at sea

The epicentre is at sea: for the same magnitude, the shaking is felt less on land, because the energy fades along the way before reaching the coast.

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

8 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

15kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×32 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 35 s

Animation sped up ~7× compared to reality.

  • Bagheria
    92 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~15 s
    main shaking in ~26 s
  • Palermo
    102 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~17 s
    main shaking in ~29 s
  • Messina
    108 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~18 s
    main shaking in ~31 s
  • Caltanissetta
    123 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~21 s
    main shaking in ~35 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

7 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

shallower than the area average (~31 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Aftershock

It is an aftershock: it follows a stronger quake (M3.1, 48 months ago) in the same area. Aftershocks are normal after an earthquake and tend to fade over time.

3.1
The mainshock
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
48 months ago · 4 Oct, 06:03
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
2
last 7 days
9
last 30 days
4 before3 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.1

How often does it happen here?

about every ~6 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 750 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

18235.8
Sicilia settentrionale earthquake
5 March 1823 · 40 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19805.7
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
28 May 1980 · 11 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.
20045.4
Isole Eolie earthquake
5 May 2004 · 37 km from here
IVModerate: felt by many indoors; glasses and dishes rattle.
19575.3
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
21 May 1957 · 27 km from here
IV-VRather strong: felt by almost everyone; hanging objects swing.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Southern Tyrrhenian

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 8.2between 2 and 18 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

3.1
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
26 km North-West · 23 km
48 months ago
4 Oct, 06:03
2.3
Isole Eolie (Messina)
8 km North-West · 10 km
47 months ago
24 Oct, 00:45
1.1
46 months ago
9 Nov, 06:51
1.6
19 km West of Leni
21 km East · 9 km
46 months ago
11 Nov, 02:53
1.7
Isole Eolie (Messina)
6 km South-East · 7 km
48 months ago
15 Sept, 15:36
1.7
Isole Eolie (Messina)
4 km East · 7 km
48 months ago
15 Sept, 13:54
2.2
Isole Eolie (Messina)
5 km North-East · 9 km
48 months ago
15 Sept, 13:53

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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