All earthquakes
1.3
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

6 km North of Forlì

126 months ago · 26 Jan, 22:39

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 54% of Italian events in the past year

Where

6 km North of ForlìEarthquakes in the province of Forlì-CesenaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

10 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

1.3kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×355 its energy
M0this quakeM2

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 12 s

Animation sped up ~2× compared to reality.

  • Forlì
    6 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Faenza
    14 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Ravenna
    17 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Cesena
    23 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~12 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

35 km
deep
4 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~14 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Aftershock

It is an aftershock: it follows a stronger quake (M1.9, 127 months ago) in the same area. Aftershocks are normal after an earthquake and tend to fade over time.

1.9
The mainshock
1 km South-West of Faenza
127 months ago · 8 Jan, 04:39
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
1
last 7 days
7
last 30 days
7 before2 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence1.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~7 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 573 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 21 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 30 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17686.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
19 October 1768 · 38 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
15846.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
10 September 1584 · 45 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Ascensione-Armaia

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.0between 2 and 10 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.4
2 km West of Cesenatico
25 km East · 35 km
126 months ago
25 Jan, 14:46
1.3
5 km South of Riolo Terme
29 km West · 10 km
126 months ago
29 Jan, 12:06
1.3
127 months ago
20 Jan, 16:07
1.8
5 km East of Faenza
8 km West · 21 km
127 months ago
18 Jan, 12:32
1.9
1 km South-West of Faenza
15 km West · 26 km
127 months ago
8 Jan, 04:39
1.7
0 km North-West of Faenza
14 km West · 25 km
127 months ago
8 Jan, 00:06
1.4
3 km South of Faenza
14 km West · 26 km
127 months ago
7 Jan, 19:53
1.5
4 km South-West of Faenza
16 km West · 26 km
127 months ago
7 Jan, 19:22
1.6
126 months ago
17 Feb, 08:39

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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