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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina)

55 months ago · 6 Mar, 13:49

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 88% of Italian events in the past year

Where

Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina)Earthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

Epicentre at sea

The epicentre is at sea: for the same magnitude, the shaking is felt less on land, because the energy fades along the way before reaching the coast.

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

12 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

15kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×32 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 29 s

Animation sped up ~5× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    82 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~14 s
    main shaking in ~24 s
  • Acireale
    94 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~16 s
    main shaking in ~27 s
  • Bagheria
    101 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~17 s
    main shaking in ~29 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    102 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~17 s
    main shaking in ~29 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

5 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

shallower than the area average (~22 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 54 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.8). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.8
The mainshock
10 km West of Leni
54 months ago · 30 Mar, 20:01
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
1
last 24 hours
2
last 7 days
6
last 30 days
8 before3 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.8

How often does it happen here?

about every ~4 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 1086 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

17866.1
Golfo di Patti earthquake
10 March 1786 · 46 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19786.0
Golfo di Patti earthquake
15 April 1978 · 43 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
18235.8
Sicilia settentrionale earthquake
5 March 1823 · 28 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
19805.7
Tirreno meridionale earthquake
28 May 1980 · 32 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Southern Tyrrhenian

The epicentre lies about 9 km from Southern Tyrrhenian, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 8.2between 2 and 18 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.1
Isole Eolie (Messina)
8 km North-West · 2 km
55 months ago
2 Mar, 20:51
2.0
55 months ago
27 Feb, 21:15
3.2
24 km South-West of Leni
10 km North · 22 km
55 months ago
27 Feb, 21:12
1.8
19 km West of Leni
19 km North · 8 km
55 months ago
27 Feb, 10:35
2.4
Isole Eolie (Messina)
27 km North-West · 10 km
54 months ago
17 Mar, 13:25
2.1
8 km West of Leni
29 km North-East · 11 km
55 months ago
19 Feb, 13:41
1.8
55 months ago
16 Feb, 18:57
1.0
55 months ago
15 Feb, 05:36
1.2
10 km North-West of Piraino
24 km South-East · 9 km
54 months ago
29 Mar, 05:05
3.8
10 km West of Leni
24 km North-East · 259 km
54 months ago
30 Mar, 20:01

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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