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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

3 km West of Cesenatico

44 months ago · 22 Jan, 11:57

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

Stronger than 97% of Italian events in the past year

Where

3 km West of CesenaticoEarthquakes in the province of Forlì-CesenaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

61 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

169kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×2.8 its energy
M2this quakeM4

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 9 s

Animation sped up ~2× compared to reality.

  • Cesena
    13 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~4 s
    main shaking in ~6 s
  • Rimini
    22 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~5 s
    main shaking in ~8 s
  • Forlì
    23 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~5 s
    main shaking in ~8 s
  • Ravenna
    27 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~9 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

18 km
medium depth
2 times the height of Mount Everest

At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

in line with the area average (~17 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 44 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M4.1). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

4.1
The mainshock
4 km West of Cesenatico
44 months ago · 28 Jan, 06:32
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
4
last 7 days
4
last 30 days
18 before66 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence4.1

How often does it happen here?

about every ~37 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2.5 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 115 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 44 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 39 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17686.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
19 October 1768 · 44 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
15846.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
10 September 1584 · 45 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Riminese onshore

The epicentre lies about 2 km from Riminese onshore, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.0between 2 and 10 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

3.5
3 km West of Cesenatico
1 km South · 18 km
44 months ago
22 Jan, 09:38
2.1
3 km South-West of Cesenatico
1 km South-East · 19 km
44 months ago
22 Jan, 16:27
1.8
44 months ago
23 Jan, 05:59
2.4
3 km West of Cesenatico
0 km North · 18 km
44 months ago
20 Jan, 18:46
2.2
4 km West of Cesenatico
1 km North-West · 17 km
44 months ago
25 Jan, 01:34
1.8
3 km West of Cesenatico
1 km North · 20 km
44 months ago
19 Jan, 10:01
2.9
4 km West of Cesenatico
1 km North-West · 17 km
44 months ago
18 Jan, 22:46
1.9
4 km West of Cesenatico
1 km West · 17 km
44 months ago
26 Jan, 01:20
3.2
2 km West of Cesenatico
1 km East · 17 km
44 months ago
26 Jan, 05:44
1.9
4 km West of Cesenatico
2 km North · 21 km
44 months ago
26 Jan, 05:56

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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