All earthquakes
1.6
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

5 km South-East of Castel San Pietro Terme

130 months ago · 7 Oct, 22:31

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 73% of Italian events in the past year

Where

5 km South-East of Castel San Pietro TermeEarthquakes in the province of BolognaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

61 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

3.8kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×126 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 15 s

Animation sped up ~3× compared to reality.

  • Imola
    11 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Faenza
    26 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~12 s
  • Bologna
    27 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~12 s
  • Forlì
    41 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~9 s
    main shaking in ~15 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

31 km
deep
3.5 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~13 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 130 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M2.9). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

2.9
The mainshock
5 km South-East of Faenza
130 months ago · 15 Oct, 06:25
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
5
last 7 days
6
last 30 days
42 before20 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~5 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 793 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 44 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 21 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 44 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 41 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Castel San Pietro Terme-Meldola

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.5between 2 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.4
130 months ago
7 Oct, 10:11
1.4
130 months ago
7 Oct, 07:42
1.7
130 months ago
7 Oct, 07:42
1.4
130 months ago
7 Oct, 00:46
0.9
130 months ago
7 Oct, 00:40
1.5
130 months ago
4 Oct, 19:29
1.2
5 km South of Castel del Rio
22 km South-West · 11 km
130 months ago
4 Oct, 19:13
1.6
130 months ago
4 Oct, 09:30
2.0
130 months ago
4 Oct, 09:29
1.2
130 months ago
4 Oct, 09:25

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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