All earthquakes
1.8
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

6 km North-West of Casalfiumanese

102 months ago · 31 Jan, 13:47

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

Stronger than 82% of Italian events in the past year

Where

6 km North-West of CasalfiumaneseEarthquakes in the province of BolognaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

15 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

7.6kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×63 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 16 s

Animation sped up ~3× compared to reality.

  • Imola
    19 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~9 s
  • Bologna
    23 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Faenza
    32 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~12 s
  • Forlì
    47 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~9 s
    main shaking in ~16 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

27 km
medium depth
3.1 times the height of Mount Everest

At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

deeper than the area average (~13 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 102 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M2.1). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

2.1
The mainshock
4 km South of Monterenzio
102 months ago · 3 Feb, 20:19
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
5
last 7 days
12
last 30 days
6 before8 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.1

How often does it happen here?

about every ~5 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 861 events in the last 11 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 42 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 26 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 48 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 37 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Castelvetro di Modena-Castel San Pietro Terme

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.8between 2 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

1.6
3 km North-West of Brisighella
23 km South-East · 19 km
102 months ago
31 Jan, 13:54
1.7
5 km East of Monterenzio
2 km South-West · 7 km
102 months ago
31 Jan, 23:51
1.2
3 km South-East of Fontanelice
12 km South-East · 25 km
102 months ago
28 Jan, 22:24
2.1
4 km South of Monterenzio
9 km South-West · 25 km
102 months ago
3 Feb, 20:19
1.3
6 km East of Firenzuola
22 km South · 10 km
102 months ago
5 Feb, 11:01
0.7
102 months ago
23 Jan, 16:12
1.3
102 months ago
22 Jan, 22:27
1.6
7 km North-East of Firenzuola
17 km South-West · 10 km
102 months ago
10 Feb, 12:31
1.9
1 km West of Zola Predosa
29 km North-West · 30 km
101 months ago
16 Feb, 13:27
1.6
3 km West of Casalfiumanese
4 km South-East · 33 km
102 months ago
13 Jan, 21:39

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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