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3.0
weak
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

2 km South-West of Carpiano

59 months ago · 12 Oct, 01:18

A weak earthquake, felt by some of the population. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 98% of Italian events in the past yearNo. 4 of the year in Lombardia

Where

2 km South-West of CarpianoEarthquakes in the province of MilanoEarthquakes in Lombardia

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

1 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

477kgof TNT equivalent
2.0 lightning bolts
M3
About the same energy as a magnitude 3 earthquake
M2this quakeM4

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 13 s

Animation sped up ~2× compared to reality.

  • Milano
    16 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Pavia
    18 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~12 s
  • Sesto San Giovanni
    22 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~12 s
  • Cinisello Balsamo
    25 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~13 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

36 km
deep
4.1 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~30 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Isolated quake

In the 30 days around this event no other quakes were recorded within 30 km: a one-off episode, very common in Italy.

Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
0
last 7 days
0
last 30 days

No other quakes within 30 km in the 30 days around the event.

How often does it happen here?

about every ~17 months

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 3 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 8 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

18025.6
Valle dell'Oglio earthquake
12 May 1802 · 46 km from here
VIII-IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
13965.3
Monza earthquake
26 November 1396 · 28 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
17865.2
Pianura lombarda earthquake
7 April 1786 · 24 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
19515.2
Lodigiano earthquake
15 May 1951 · 30 km from here
VI-VIIVery strong: hard to stand; chimneys and roof tiles fall, serious damage to weaker buildings.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Western S-Alps external thrust shallow-west

The epicentre lies about 11 km from Western S-Alps external thrust shallow-west, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.2between 2 and 6 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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