All earthquakes
1.6
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

2 km South-West of Borgo Tossignano

114 months ago · 20 Jan, 02:50

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 73% of Italian events in the past year

Where

2 km South-West of Borgo TossignanoEarthquakes in the province of BolognaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

16 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

3.8kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×126 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 11 s

Animation sped up ~2× compared to reality.

  • Imola
    17 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~3 s
    main shaking in ~6 s
  • Faenza
    24 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~4 s
    main shaking in ~7 s
  • Bologna
    35 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Forlì
    37 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~11 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

9 km
shallow
1 times the height of Mount Everest

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~13 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 114 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M2.4). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

2.4
The mainshock
3 km North-West of Casola Valsenio
114 months ago · 3 Feb, 17:47
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
1
last 24 hours
4
last 7 days
12
last 30 days
7 before8 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.4

How often does it happen here?

about every ~5 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 796 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 35 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 16 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 36 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 33 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Castel San Pietro Terme-Meldola

The epicentre lies about 3 km from Castel San Pietro Terme-Meldola, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.5between 2 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.2
114 months ago
20 Jan, 02:45
2.2
114 months ago
20 Jan, 03:16
1.5
3 km North-West of Riolo Terme
8 km North-East · 25 km
114 months ago
19 Jan, 08:03
1.6
6 km North-East of Vicchio
29 km South · 10 km
115 months ago
12 Jan, 05:00
2.2
3 km North-East of Casola Valsenio
4 km South-East · 24 km
114 months ago
3 Feb, 10:44
1.9
3 km North-East of Casola Valsenio
4 km South-East · 26 km
114 months ago
3 Feb, 10:45
2.1
114 months ago
3 Feb, 11:12
2.4
114 months ago
3 Feb, 17:47
1.2
6 km West of Castel del Rio
15 km South-West · 10 km
114 months ago
8 Feb, 07:55
2.3
2 km North-East of Casola Valsenio
5 km South-East · 29 km
114 months ago
9 Feb, 19:23

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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