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Castel San Niccolò: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Arezzo (reference capital: Arezzo), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (59/100).

Earthquakes · Castel San Niccolò Air quality · Castel San Niccolò

No weather alerts today for Castel San Niccolò · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 50% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 82% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castel San Niccolò, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:40) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Arezzo

Observed data for 11 October
24°
High
13°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Castel San Niccolò is Arezzo

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castel San Niccolò is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AR68%FI11%FC5%PO5%SI3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    59/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    59/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    53/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    50/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    49/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Arezzo, compared with what actually happened

iLMeteo.itWinner of the day
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has nailed the low for 14 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the high for 3 days in a row

The situation around Castel San Niccolò

Rain on a good share of the days around Arezzo over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Castel San Niccolò area is very tight: 3BMeteo leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 1. Ortignano Raggiolo is the exception: a different service leads there. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:24
Sunrise
18:34
Sunset
11h 10m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Castel San Niccolò

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Montemignaio
5.5 km
Ortignano Raggiolo
7.3 km
Pratovecchio Stia
10.4 km
Reggello
11.1 km

Localities in Castel San Niccolò

Arsiccia
Barbianese
Barbiano
Bariballe
Battifolle
Borgo alla Collina
Borgo Piano
Buca di Traella
Ca' di Bati
Caiano

Get to know Castel San Niccolò

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Arezzo area had an average accuracy index of 72 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 36 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    72/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    63/100 · fairly reliable
2,739
Inhabitants
051010
ISTAT code
Arezzo (AR) • Tuscany