Back to the province of Messina

Frazzanò: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Messina (reference capital: Messina), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (69/100).

Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 13 October 2026 at 14:56

At the province level

Catches 83% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 83% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Frazzanò, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (15:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Messina

Observed data for 12 October
26°
High
19°
Low
8.7 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Frazzanò is Messina

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Frazzanò is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

ME65%CT10%EN10%CL4%PA3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    69/100
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    68/100
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    67/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    59/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    36/100

Yesterday's report card

12 October

Forecasts made the day before for Messina, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 29 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 25 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 23 days in a row

The situation around Frazzanò

Rain on a good share of the days around Messina over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Frazzanò area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. Nearby municipalities (San Salvatore di Fitalia, Mirto) have the same service in first place. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:07
Sunrise
18:26
Sunset
11h 20m
Daylight

2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Frazzanò

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Localities in Frazzanò

Frazzanò
Sant'Ippolito

Get to know Frazzanò

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Messina area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 60 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
755
Inhabitants
083026
ISTAT code
Messina (ME) • Sicily