Meteare
Back to the province of Forlì-Cesena

Modigliana: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Forlì-Cesena (reference capital: Forlì), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (79/100).

Earthquakes · Modigliana Air quality · Modigliana

No weather alerts today for Modigliana · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 13 October 2026 at 14:56

At the province level

Catches 88% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Modigliana, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (15:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Forlì-Cesena

Observed data for 12 October
19°
High
12°
Low
7.9 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Modigliana is Forlì-Cesena

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Modigliana is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

FC65%RA15%BO5%FI4%RN3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    79/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    69/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    54/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    49/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    42/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

12 October

Forecasts made the day before for Forlì-Cesena, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 25 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 6 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the low for 4 days in a row

The situation around Modigliana

Around Forlì-Cesena, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Modigliana area, 10 points ahead of the runner-up. Little wind: light breezes on most days. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Dovadola, Brisighella).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:24
Sunrise
18:33
Sunset
11h 9m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Modigliana

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Dovadola
6.9 km
Brisighella
7.8 km
Rocca San Casciano
8.4 km
Tredozio
8.5 km

Localities in Modigliana

Beggiolo
Bonatta
Borsignolo
Ca' Albano
Cà  Cornio
Ca' di Sarto
Ca' di Vecchio
Ca' Lago di Sopra
Ca' Lago di Sotto
Calenzone

Get to know Modigliana

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Forlì-Cesena area had an average accuracy index of 73 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 33 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    68/100 · fairly reliable
4,726
Inhabitants
040022
ISTAT code
Forlì-Cesena (FC) • Emilia-Romagna